Britain will be economically worse off if it leaves the EU, finance minister Philip Hammond said Wednesday, as Prime Minister Theresa May takes the Brexit divorce deal to a sceptical Scotland.
Hammond’s Treasury ministry said that over the next 15 years, Britain would experience an economic hit from leaving the European Union in any circumstances, including under the agreement struck between London and Brussels that May is trying to sell.
May has less than a two weeks to convince hostile MPs to back the deal in a December 11 vote and avoid plunging the Brexit into chaos, four months out from Britain’s March 29 departure date.
From an economic point of view, there will be a cost to leaving the EU because there will be impediments to our trade. What the prime minister’s deal does is absolutely minimise these costs, Hammond said, ahead of the Treasury report’s publication.
“This is a very modest impact on the overall size of the economy as the optimum way of leaving the EU,” the chancellor of the Exchequer told BBC radio.
He insisted that the economy was not the only consideration and controlling Britain’s borders, money and laws also had value.
“We have to look not only at the economy but the need to heal a fractured nation,” said Hammond.
May was to face MPs again in her weekly prime minister’s questions session in parliament on Wednesday. She runs a minority Conservative government and opposition parties, as well as many of her own MPs, are against the deal.
Some Brexiteers think it keeps Britain shackled too closely to Brussels while pro-EU lawmakers think the terms are worse than staying in the bloc and want a second referendum.
An online Survey poll of 1 030 adults for the Daily Mail newspaper found that 37 percent supported the deal — up 10 percent on November 15 — and 35 percent opposed it, down 14 percent.
Some 41 percent wanted MPs to vote for the deal and 38 percent wanted them to vote it down, in the survey conducted Tuesday.
The poll also found that some 48 percent supported holding a new Brexit referendum and 34 percent were against.
If the parliamentary vote is lost, 48 percent said May should resign while 40 percent said she should carry on.
The British government and the EU have said that there is no alternative deal available than the one agreed.
If MPs vote it down, Hammond said the government would “consider very carefully how to proceed” through “uncharted political territory”, by studying which MPs voted which way.
“It is very clear that there is not a consensus for in parliament; what is more difficult to concern is what there is a consensus for,” the chancellor said.